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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.

The A-share financing balance hit a new high of more than 9 years, and the big consumption sector broke out. According to china securities journal, on December 12, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends.Suspected of misleading investors and being accused of bundling sales, NVIDIA is frequently involved in anti-monopoly investigations around the world. After China filed an anti-monopoly investigation against NVIDIA a few days ago, on the 12th, this artificial intelligence chip manufacturing giant was once again involved in the judicial turmoil. The US Supreme Court allowed investors to file a class action lawsuit against chipmaker NVIDIA, and rejected NVIDIA's appeal. This is the latest judicial dispute that NVIDIA has fallen into since the French, European Union and China launched an "anti-monopoly investigation" against NVIDIA.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.